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This El Niño is set to be the largest on record by a ‘mind-blowing margin’

Nature Climate Forecasting James Dinneen 2026-07-23

TL;DR - Forecasters predict an exceptionally large El Niño that could combine with global warming to drive global temperatures to new highs in 2027.

  • The event is projected to be the largest El Niño on record by a substantial margin.
  • Its warming effects are expected to compound the long-term rise in temperatures caused by climate change.
  • The provided summary does not specify the forecasting methods, uncertainty, or quantitative estimates.

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