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Double Descent and Malign Overfitting in Diffusion Models

arXiv cs.LG Multimodal & Generative Raphaël Urfin, Tony Bonnaire, Giulio Biroli, Marc Mézard 2026-09-22

TL;DR - Diffusion models can exhibit malign rather than benign overfitting: test loss begins worsening when parameters (p\sim n), long before the interpolation peak at (p\sim nm). Regularization restores the benefits of larger models and can outperform all unregularized configurations.

  • Experiments on CelebA U-Nets and a random-features model with closed-form learning curves support the same behavior.
  • With (m) noise realizations per sample, the interpolation peak shifts from the standard-regression scale (p\sim n) to (p\sim nm), while overfitting still starts near (p\sim n).
  • Bias grows as the learned model approaches the memorizing empirical score; beyond the peak, variance falls but bias continues increasing.
  • Ridge regularization in theory and early stopping in U-Net experiments make overparameterization beneficial.

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